Complementary Vantage Points: Integrating Hydrology and Economics for Sociohydrologic Knowledge Generation

Complementary Vantage Points: Integrating Hydrology and Economics for Sociohydrologic Knowledge Generation
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DOI:
10.1029/2019wr024786
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发表时间:
2019-04
影响因子:
5.4
通讯作者:
M. Müller;M. Levy
M. Müller;M. Levy
中科院分区:
地球科学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Müller;M. Levy

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由于人类世的人类和环境系统日益耦合,水文学家和经济学家经常发现自己从不同的角度研究相同的系统。在这里,我们认为,经济学和水文学的综合可以帮助解决两个紧迫的社会水文学挑战:可操作的预测和从基于地点的研究中生成可转移的知识。具体来说,我们回顾了经济学的(1)经验方法和(2)理论方法,并通过提出的迭代框架将两者联系起来。首先,我们发现,可以利用经济学中自然实验和准实验统计分析的实证方法来区分复杂和数据稀缺系统中的因果关系和单纯的相关性,这有助于解决社会水文学预测的挑战。其次,我们发现基于理性选择的经济理论可以用来解释水资源中已知的悖论,这有助于解决社会水文知识生成的挑战。在经验和理论领域,水文学的专业知识对于正确地将经济学技术应用于耦合的人类水系统仍然至关重要。我们认为这两个领域之间的联系凸显了互动的巨大潜力。
Because human and environmental systems in the Anthropocene are increasingly coupled, hydrologists and economists often find themselves studying the same systems from different vantage points. Here we argue that synthesis across economics and hydrology can help address two pressing sociohydrologic challenges: actionable prediction and the generation of transferable knowledge from place‐based studies. Specifically, we review (1) empirical methods and (2) theoretical approaches from economics and connect the two through a proposed iterative framework. First, we find that empirical methods for statistical analysis of natural and quasi‐experiments in economics can be leveraged to distinguish causal relations from mere correlations in complex and data scarce systems, which can help address the challenge of sociohydrologic prediction. Second, we find that economic theories based on rational choice can be used to decipher known paradoxes in water resources, which can help address the challenge of sociohydrologic knowledge generation. In both empirical and theoretical domains, specialized knowledge in hydrology remains critical to properly applying techniques from economics to coupled human‐water systems. We propose that linkages between the two fields highlight a large potential for interaction.