Race, Trust, and Return Migration
Race, Trust, and Return Migration
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种族、信任和回归移民
DOI：
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发表时间：
2015
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
G. Reinhardt
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
G. Reinhardt
美国在经历了几次灾难后，黑人向灾后地区的返回移民率一直低于其他种族。这种模式有政治解释吗？我调查政治信任的因果机制，通过种族影响人们的决定在哪里生活后，被迫撤离。在考虑了经济、人口和社会学对回流移民的影响后，我使用中介分析发现，政治信任在种族和回流移民之间起着中介作用。因此，我能够解释的显着性的种族返回移民的决定：种族没有直接影响返回移民，而是通过因果机制的政治信任，以确定返回移民的决定。由于黑人的政治信任度较低，而政治信任度较低的人返回的可能性较小，因此黑人返回灾后地区的可能性较小。
After several disasters in the United States, the return-migration rate of blacks to post-disaster areas has been lower than that of other races. Does this pattern have a political explanation? I investigate political trust as the causal mechanism through which race affects people’s decisions of where to live after forced evacuation. After accounting for economic, demographic, and sociological influences on return migration, I use mediation analysis to find that political trust acts as a mediator between race and return migration. I am thus able to explain the salience of race to the return-migration decision: race does not have a direct effect on return migration but rather works through the causal mechanism of political trust to determine return-migration decisions. As blacks are more likely to have low levels of political trust, and those with lower political trust are less likely to return, blacks are less likely to return to post-disaster areas.