The Forgotten Semantics of Regression Modeling in Geography
The Forgotten Semantics of Regression Modeling in Geography
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DOI:
10.1111/gean.12199
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发表时间:
2021-01-01
影响因子:
3.6
通讯作者:
Atkinson,Peter M.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Comber,Alexis John;Harris,Paul;Atkinson,Peter M.
This article is concerned with the semantics associated with the statistical analysis of spatial data. It takes the simplest case of the prediction of variableyas a function of covariate(s)x, in which predictedyis always an approximation ofyand only ever a function ofx, thus, inheriting many of the spatial characteristics ofx, and illustrates several core issues using “synthetic” remote sensing and “real” soils case studies. The outputs of regression models and, therefore, the meaning of predictedy, are shown to vary due to (1) choices about data: the specification ofx(which covariates to include), the support ofx(measurement scales and granularity), the measurement ofxand the error ofx, and (2) choices about the model including its functional form and the method of model identification. Some of these issues are more widely recognized than others. Thus, the study provides definition to the multiple ways in which regression prediction and inference are affected by data and model choices. The article invites researchers to pause and consider the semantic meaning of predictedy, which is often nothing more than a scaled version of covariate(s)x, and argues that it is naïve to ignore this.