The future choice of technologies and co-benefits of CO 2 emission reduction in Bangladesh power sec
The future choice of technologies and co-benefits of CO 2 emission reduction in Bangladesh power sec
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DOI：
10.1016/j.energy.2010.08.037
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发表时间：
2010-12
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Md. Alam Hossain Mondal;M. Denich;P. Vlek
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Md. Alam Hossain Mondal;M. Denich;P. Vlek
本文考察了二氧化碳减排对孟加拉国电力部门未来技术选择和能源使用的影响，考虑到2005年的基准年，到2035年。它还研究了二氧化碳减排目标对国家能源安全的影响。该分析基于使用MARKAL框架的孟加拉国长期能源系统模型。结果表明，与基础情景相比，二氧化碳减排目标的引入直接影响了技术从高碳含量化石基向低碳含量化石基以及清洁可再生能源技术的转变。在二氧化碳减排目标为10-30%的情况下，2005-2035年期间的累计净能源进口将比基本情景排放水平减少超过1400PJ至4898PJ。在二氧化碳减排目标中，一次能源需求总量将减少5.5-15.2%，一次能源供应体系将比基本情景多样化。
This paper examines the impacts of CO2emission reduction on future technology selection and energy use in Bangladesh power sector up to 2035 considering the base year 2005. It also examines the implications of CO2emission reduction targets on energy security of the country. The analysis is based on a long-term energy system model of Bangladesh using the MARKAL framework. The results show that the introduction of the CO2emission reduction targets directly affect the shift of technologies from high carbon content fossil-based to low carbon content fossil-based as well as clean, renewable energy-based technologies compared to the base scenario. With the CO2emission reduction target of 10–30%, the cumulative net energy imports during 2005–2035 would be reduced in the range of over 1400PJ to 4898PJ compared to the base scenario emission level. The total primary energy requirement would be reduced in the range of 5.5–15.2% in the CO2emission reduction targets and the primary energy supply system would be diversified compared to the base scenario.