Mapping the likelihood of foot-and-mouth disease introduction along the border between Brazil and Paraguay
Mapping the likelihood of foot-and-mouth disease introduction along the border between Brazil and Paraguay
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DOI：
10.1590/s0100-204x2016000500029
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发表时间：
2016-05-01
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Tran, Annelise
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Amaral, Thaís Basso;Gond, Valery;Tran, Annelise
这项工作的目的是应用模糊多数多标准群体决策来确定巴西和巴拉圭边境引入口蹄疫(FMD)的风险区域。这项研究是在巴西南马托格罗索州与巴拉圭接壤的三个城市进行的。构建了四个场景，使用以下语言量词来描述风险因素：少、半、多和大多数。根据专家的意见，被认为最有可能影响引入口蹄疫的脆弱性的三个标准是：农场引进动物、距离边境的距离和财产定居点的类型。由此得到的地图显示口蹄疫引入的风险具有很强的空间异质性。所采用的方法提出了一种新的方法，可以帮助决策者在打击和根除口蹄疫方面发挥作用。
The objective of this work was to apply fuzzy majority multicriteria group decision-making to determine risk areas for foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) introduction along the border between Brazil and Paraguay. The study was conducted in three municipalities in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil, located along the border with Paraguay. Four scenarios were built, applying the following linguistic quantifiers to describe risk factors: few, half, many, and most. The three criteria considered to be most likely to affect the vulnerability to introduction of FMD, according to experts' opinions, were: the introduction of animals in the farm, the distance from the border, and the type of property settlements. The resulting maps show a strong spatial heterogeneity in the risk of FMD introduction. The used methodology brings out a new approach that can be helpful to policy makers in the combat and eradication of FMD.