Alien Abduction and Voter Impersonation in the 2012 U.S. General Election: Evidence from a Survey List Experiment
Alien Abduction and Voter Impersonation in the 2012 U.S. General Election: Evidence from a Survey List Experiment
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2012 年美国大选中的外星人绑架和冒充选民：来自调查列表实验的证据
DOI：
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发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
JackmanSimon
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文献类型：
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作者：
S. AhlquistJohn;R. MayerKenneth;JackmanSimon
摘要美国各州的立法机构已经制定并通过了法律，要求选民出示各种形式的州颁发的身份证明才能投票。支持者认为，这些法律保护选举过程的完整性，有时声称欺诈性投票很普遍。我们报告了2012年美国大选后立即进行的一项调查名单实验的结果，该实验旨在衡量与选民身份证法最相关的一种特定类型的选民欺诈的流行程度：选民冒充。我们没有发现广泛的选民冒充的证据，即使在总统或全州竞选中竞争最激烈的州。我们还发现，具有严格的选民身份证法的州和具有当天选民登记的州在（不）存在选民冒充方面与其他州没有什么不同。为了解决我们的结论可能存在的“下限”问题，我们进行了平行和后续实验来校准我们的发现。这些辅助列表exp.
Abstract State legislatures around the United States have entertained—and passed—laws requiring voters to present various forms of state-issued identification in order to cast ballots. Proponents argue that such laws protect the integrity of the electoral process, sometimes claiming that fraudulent voting is widespread. We report the results of a survey list experiment fielded immediately after the 2012 U.S. general election designed to measure the prevalence of one specific type of voter fraud most relevant to voter ID laws: voter impersonation. We find no evidence of widespread voter impersonation, even in the states most contested in the presidential or statewide campaigns. We also find that states with strict voter ID laws and states with same-day voter registration are no different from others in the (non) existence of voter impersonation. To address possible “lower bound” problems with our conclusions we run both parallel and subsequent experiments to calibrate our findings. These ancillary list exp...