Performance of forecasting, warning and detection of malaria epidemics in the highlands of western Kenya
Performance of forecasting, warning and detection of malaria epidemics in the highlands of western Kenya
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DOI：
10.1016/s1471-4922(03)00190-9
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发表时间：
2003-09-01
影响因子：
9.6
通讯作者：
Snow, RW
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hay, S;Renshaw, M;Snow, RW
2002年7月4日，肯尼亚一家主要的全国性报纸《达菲国家报》在一篇文章中以“部长对疟疾发出警报”为标题，宣布肯尼亚西部高地爆发了流行病。随后媒体频繁报道，引用地区领导人对死亡人数的引用，以及对国家疟疾控制战略失败的社论。卫生部立即彻底改变了有关高地治疗费用的国家政策，暂停了费用分摊。发展伙伴和非政府组织也做出了回应，大幅增加了商品分配（约 50 万美元），以支持整个西部高地地区的预防战略。值得注意的是，它的缺席是在新闻报道之前预测流行病的任何明显努力。
On the 4th July 2002 a leading national newspaper in Kenya, the Daffy Nation, ran the headline 'Minister sounds alert on malaria' in an article declaring the onset of epidemics in the highlands of western Kenya. There followed frequent media coverage with quotes from district leaders on the numbers of deaths, and editorials on the failure of the national malaria control strategy. The Ministry of Health made immediate and radical changes to national policy on treatment costs in the highlands by suspending cost-sharing. Development partners and non-govern mental organisations also responded with a large increase in the distribution of commodities (approximately US$500000) to support preventative strategies across the western highland region. What was conspicuous by its absence was any obvious effort to predict the epidemics in advance of press coverage.