Is preterm labor a valid endpoint in perinatal research?
Is preterm labor a valid endpoint in perinatal research?
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早产是围产期研究的有效终点吗?
DOI:
10.1093/aje/155.4.302
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发表时间:
2002
影响因子:
5
通讯作者:
Macones,GeorgeA
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Macones,GeorgeA
In this issue of the American Journal of Epidemiology, Dayan et al.(1) present their findings from a cohort study whose purpose was to assess the relation between maternal anxiety and depression and preterm labor. Unraveling the relation between maternal psychological events and pregnancy outcome is of great importance, especially as we begin to understand the biologic plausibility of such a link. In this regard, Dayan et al. have made a valuable contribution to the existing body of literature on this subject. Their study, however, raises an important question for both observational and interventional perinatal research: Should preterm labor itself be used as an endpoint? I believe there are several relevant issues to consider in answering this question. First, is preterm labor itself a clinically important health outcome? If not, is it a reasonable surrogate for another clinically important outcome? Dayan et al. make the argument that preterm labor is itself a clinically important outcome, based mainly on maternal considerations, such as the need for maternal hospitalization and the use of tocolytic medications. Certainly, there is a risk of thrombosis in pregnant women placed on bed rest, given the lower extremity venous stasis and hypercoagulability associated with pregnancy. In addition, the most commonly used tocolytic agents (beta agonists and magnesium sulfate) have both been associated with serious cardiopulmonary morbidity (2–4). Fortunately, the risk of thromboses and the risk of cardiopulmonary complications with tocolytic agents are exceedingly low. Given the low rate of maternal complications arising from preterm labor, the clinical importance of preterm labor is largely determined by its relation with preterm birth (infants born preterm are at substantially increased risk for many complications, including death, chronic lung disease, intraventricular hemorrhage, necrotizing enterocolitis, and others). If one agrees with this thinking, the next question becomes whether preterm labor is a reasonable surrogate for preterm birth. The answer to this is unquestionably “no.” As Dayan et al. point out, women diagnosed and treated for preterm labor often will deliver at term. This fact is borne out in the many clinical trials of tocolytic agents (where relatively strict diagnostic criteria were used), in which approximately 50 percent of women randomized to placebo delivered at or beyond 37 weeks (5). In clinical practice, where less stringent diagnostic criteria for preterm labor are likely used, the proportion of women “diagnosed” with preterm labor who ultimately deliver at term may be substantially higher than that seen in the clinical trials. It would certainly be interesting to know what proportion of women diagnosed with preterm labor in this study actually went on to deliver at term. Still, it is clear that preterm labor is not a surrogate for preterm birth.Why, then, is preterm labor so poorly associated with preterm birth? The answer to this has to do with the methods by which preterm labor is defined. Traditionally, the diagnosis of preterm labor has been based on the observation of “frequent” uterine contractions (various definitions have been used) and the presence of cervical “change”(defined as a change in cervical dilation and/or effacement from a prior examination). Dayan et al. in this study use a similar definition. Unfortunately, the measurement and interpretation of both uterine contractions and cervical dilation are fraught with difficulty. There are three components of the assessment of uterine contractions, namely, frequency, duration, and intensity. Prior to the onset of ruptured amniotic membranes, contractions are measured with an external tocodynamometer, which …