Modeling as Visioning: Exploring the Impact of Criminal Justice Reform on Health of Populations with Substance Use Disorders.
Modeling as Visioning: Exploring the Impact of Criminal Justice Reform on Health of Populations with Substance Use Disorders.
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DOI：
10.1177/23814683231202984
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发表时间：
2023-07
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Larney, Sarah
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Martin, Natasha K.;Beletsky, Leo;Linas, Benjamin P.;Bayoumi, Ahmed;Pollack, Harold;Larney, Sarah
在历史性地清算刑事法律制度作为健康危害的结构性驱动因素的作用的背景下，越来越多的证据表明，惩罚性药物政策未能防止有问题的药物使用，同时助长了社会危害。在这篇解释性文章中，我们讨论了模拟建模如何提供一个方法论框架，以探索从渐进到激进的各种药物政策替代方案的潜在结果（有益和有害）。我们讨论了潜在的仿真建模机会，同时呼吁仿真建模在设想和实施变革中发挥更积极的作用。本文讨论了模拟建模在预测与毒品有关的刑事司法改革的健康和经济影响（有益和有害）的机会。我们呼吁建模者探索激进的干预措施，以减少与毒品有关的伤害，并在更可能的情况下模拟宏伟的替代未来，目标是为这些选择开辟政策话语。
In the context of historic reckoning with the role of the criminal-legal system as a structural driver of health harms, there is mounting evidence that punitive drug policies have failed to prevent problematic drug use while fueling societal harms. In this explainer article, we discuss how simulation modeling provides a methodological framework to explore the potential outcomes (beneficial and harmful) of various drug policy alternatives, from incremental to radical. We discuss potential simulation modeling opportunities while calling for a more active role of simulation modeling in visioning and operationalizing transformative change. This article discusses opportunities for simulation modeling in projecting health and economic impacts (beneficial and harmful) of drug-related criminal justice reforms. We call on modelers to explore radical interventions to reduce drug-related harm and model grand alternative futures in addition to more probable scenarios, with a goal of opening up policy discourse to these options.
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