China-Australia Relations and China's Policy Choices toward Australia: A Chinese Perspective
China-Australia Relations and China's Policy Choices toward Australia: A Chinese Perspective
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中澳关系及中国对澳政策选择：中国视角
DOI：
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发表时间：
2023
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
F. Zhou
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
F. Zhou
摘要：2016年以来，澳大利亚对华态度急转直下，中澳关系出现明显下滑。关于澳大利亚对华态度的变化，中国学者最初主要从美国的角度进行分析，澳大利亚联盟和中美-澳大利亚三角，认为美国的影响是澳大利亚对华政策变化的关键原因。后来，中国学者越来越意识到澳大利亚对华政策的重大自主性，以及从美国视角看待澳大利亚对华政策的不足。一方面，澳大利亚独特的威胁感知和利益感知塑造了其对华政策的特点;另一方面，如何有效平衡安全利益和经济利益是澳大利亚在中美战略竞争下长期面临的两难问题，澳大利亚政府在做法上表现出一定程度的政策灵活性。中国对澳大利亚采取的有限强制性经济措施向澳大利亚发出了明确的政策信号，并成为影响其对华政策的因素。今后一个时期，中澳关系虽然没有明显改善的机遇，但双方在战略上可能会更加审慎务实，中澳关系有望在低水平上保持基本稳定。
Abstract:Since 2016, Australia's attitude toward China has taken a turn for the worse, and Sino-Australian relations have seen a significant decline. With regard to the change in Australia's attitude toward China, Chinese scholars initially analyzed it mainly from the perspective of the U.S.-Australia alliance and the China-U.S.-Australia triangle, viewing U.S. influence as the key reason for the change in Australia's policy toward China. Later, Chinese scholars have become increasingly aware of the significant policy autonomy in Australia's China policy and the inadequacy of viewing Australia's China policy from the U.S. perspective. On the one hand, Australia's unique threat perception and interest perception have shaped the characteristics of its China policy; on the other hand, how to effectively balance security interests and economic interests is a long-standing dilemma faced by Australia under the strategic competition between China and the U.S. The Australian government has shown a degree of policy flexibility in its approach. The limited coercive economic measures taken by China against Australia have sent clear policy signals to Australia and have become a factor influencing its policy towards China. In the coming period, although no obvious opportunity for improvement in China-Australia relations is in sight, both sides may be more prudent and pragmatic strategically, and China-Australia relations can be expected to remain basically stable at a low level.