Rebound 2007: Analysis of U.S. light-duty vehicle travel statistics

Rebound 2007: Analysis of U.S. light-duty vehicle travel statistics
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DOI:
10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.083
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发表时间:
2012-02
期刊:
影响因子:
9
通讯作者:
D. Greene
D. Greene
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
D. Greene

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利用1966-2007年美国乘用汽车和轻型卡车的全国时间序列数据,检验了机动车燃油效率对车辆行驶的反弹效应的存在性、大小和稳定性。数据显示,汽油价格对车辆行驶有统计上的显著影响,但不支持燃油效率对车辆行驶有直接影响。进一步的检验表明,燃料价格的影响并不是长期不变的,尽管价格上涨和下跌的对称性假设没有被否定。对Small和货车Dender(2007)关于反弹效应随收入下降的模型进行了检验,得到了类似的结果。
U.S. national time series data on vehicle travel by passenger cars and light trucks covering the period 1966–2007 are used to test for the existence, size and stability of the rebound effect for motor vehicle fuel efficiency on vehicle travel. The data show a statistically significant effect of gasoline price on vehicle travel but do not support the existence of a direct impact of fuel efficiency on vehicle travel. Additional tests indicate that fuel price effects have not been constant over time, although the hypothesis of symmetry with respect to price increases and decreases is not rejected. Small and Van Dender (2007) model of a declining rebound effect with income is tested and similar results are obtained.