OCJS Predicted Recidivism Amongst Admitted Violence Perpetrators: A Comparison of Adults and Youth

OCJS Predicted Recidivism Amongst Admitted Violence Perpetrators: A Comparison of Adults and Youth
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OCJS 预测承认的暴力犯罪者中的累犯:成人和青少年的比较

DOI:
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发表时间:
2008
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
P. Kautt
P. Kautt
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
P. Kautt

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严重的暴力行为往往不向警方报告。大多数暴力犯罪者要么从未被捕,要么只因非暴力犯罪而被捕。然而,大多数累犯研究依赖于刑事司法系统已知的犯罪者的数据,使某些犯罪者的累犯风险在很大程度上未得到探讨。本研究使用的数据,从自我承认,但身份不明的暴力罪犯,以统计确定的因素,影响受访者自我评估,他们是否会暴力再犯。结果为年轻的成年人与青少年相比,表明不同的因素影响两组之间的自我预测。这一点的实际影响进行了讨论。
Serious violence is often not reported to the police. Most violent offenders are either never arrested or only arrested for non-violent offences. Yet, most recidivism studies rely on data from perpetrators known to the criminal justice system, leaving the recidivism risk for certain offenders largely unexplored. This study uses data from self-admitted but otherwise unidentified violent offenders to statistically identify the factors influencing respondent self-assessments of whether they would violently reoffend. Results for young adults are compared with those of juveniles, indicating that different factors influence self-predictions between the two groups. The practical implications of this are discussed.