Considerations in the Analysis of Clinical Trial Failure.
Considerations in the Analysis of Clinical Trial Failure.
复制标题
临床试验失败分析中的考虑因素。
DOI:
10.1097/ju.0000000000002206
复制
发表时间:
2022
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Skolarus,TedA
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Stensland,KristianD;Daignault-Newton,Stephanie;Skolarus,TedA
CLINICAL trials are integral to advancing both patient care and science. Hundreds of thousands of participants enroll, and billions of dollars are invested in clinical trials annually. 1 There has been increasing interest in trial conduct in the urological community, including training and collaborative opportunities such as the Society for Urologic Oncology Clinical Trials Consortium and the American Urological Association clinical research workshop. 2, 3 This interest has also led to an increasing number of publications analyzing trial conduct, including 2 recent publications in The Journal of Urology® focusing on measuring the success of urological clinical trials. 4, 5 Analyzing the clinical trials enterprise is a critical step in understanding the scope of problems with trials and early indicators of barriers to success. However, estimates from such studies must be carefully considered. Defining the magnitude of problems with clinical trials has significant implications for research in trial conduct both in terms of community interest and obtaining funding for trial improvement efforts. We will briefly highlight considerations for the analysis of clinical trials that could both improve our estimates of clinical trial success and failure, and contribute to clinical trial improvement. First, estimating the rate of trial failure is critical to defining the scope of gaps in clinical trial conduct. Defining “failure” for clinical trials is challenging, however. In The Journal, both Magnani 4 and Bandari 5 et al define trial failure as trials with overall status marked as terminated or withdrawn, consistent with prior studies and definitions from ClinicalTrials. gov. However, the reason for termination has significant bearing on whether a trial should be considered failed. For example, a trial terminated early for toxicity or efficacy gives substantive information about the treatment, meets the putative trial goal and should not be considered a failed trial. In both analyses, consistent with prior studies, about 10% of terminated trials closed for toxicity, efficacy, or “poor results”(conservatively considered to be properly measured interim analyses), reflecting ethical trial behavior, responsible outcome reporting and generation of usable knowledge preventing future patients from exposure to ineffective or toxic interventions. While this classification may have a small impact on retrospective studies, defining a trial closed and reported for toxicity/efficacy as successful may encourage enhanced reporting in the future, and is important for trial improvement goals.Conversely, many trials considered completed do not successfully meet enrollment goals and should perhaps not be considered successful. While some of these insufficiently enrolled trials may generate knowledge, missing enrollment goals raises issues of power and generalizability. Additionally, trials requiring longer enrollment periods potentially generate greater cost, and risk delaying treatments and contending with advancing standard of care. These trials should either not be considered successful, or their insufficient accrual should be at least reported in both publications and registries. Finally, as Magnani et al highlight, research findings are generally only useful if they are disseminated, in the form of manuscript publications or ClinicalTrials. gov. 4 Until results are reported, a clinical trial may not truly be considered successful. While publication in a journal is the standard means of reporting, posting results to ClinicalTrials. gov should be a reasonable replacement for trial knowledge dissemination, and requiring results reporting for all trials seems reasonable and highly useful. This applies particularly for trials closed early for “poor results,” where a clear explanation of …