Community Incidence of Norovirus-associated Infectious Intestinal Disease in England: Improved Estimates Using Viral Load for Norovirus Diagnosis

Community Incidence of Norovirus-associated Infectious Intestinal Disease in England: Improved Estimates Using Viral Load for Norovirus Diagnosis
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DOI:
10.1093/aje/kwq021
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发表时间:
2010-05-01
影响因子:
5
通讯作者:
Lopman, Ben
Lopman, Ben
中科院分区:
医学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Phillips, Gemma;Tam, Clarence C.;Lopman, Ben

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Existing estimates of the incidence of infectious intestinal disease (IID) caused by norovirus are based on electron microscopy or reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Neither method accurately represents norovirus disease burden: Electron microscopy has poor diagnostic sensitivity, and RT-PCR has poor diagnostic specificity. In this study, viral load measurements were used to identify cases of norovirus-associated IID and to produce new incidence estimates for England. IID cases were ascertained in the Study of Infectious Intestinal Disease in England (1993-1996), and stool specimens were tested by semiquantitative real-time RT-PCR for norovirus. The age-adjusted community incidence of norovirus-associated IID was 4.5/100 person-years (95% credibility interval: 3.8, 5.2), equating to 2 million episodes/year. Among children aged less than 5 years, the community incidence was 21.4/100 person-years (95% credibility interval: 15.9, 27.7), and the incidence of consultations to general practitioners for norovirus-associated IID was 3.2/100 person-years (95% credibility interval: 2.6, 3.8), with 100,000 children visiting their general practitioner for norovirus-associated IID each year. Norovirus is the most common cause of IID in the community in England and is responsible for a similar number of pediatric primary care consultations as rotavirus.