Useful traditional knowledge indicators for drought forecasting in the Mzingwane Catchment area of Zimbabwe
Useful traditional knowledge indicators for drought forecasting in the Mzingwane Catchment area of Zimbabwe
复制标题
津巴布韦姆津瓦内流域地区干旱预报的有用传统知识指标
DOI：
10.1108/dpm-10-2012-0109
复制
发表时间：
2013
影响因子：
1.9
通讯作者：
W. Nyabeze
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bright Chisadza;M. Tumbare;I. Nhapi;W. Nyabeze
目的-本文的目的是确定、分析和记录Mzingwane流域干旱预报中使用的当地传统指标，并评估使用当地传统指标将传统降雨预报与气象预报方法相结合的可能性。设计/方法/方式-自我管理的结构化问卷进行了101名受访者在四个区的Mzingwane集水区，即Beitbridge，Mangwe，Esighodini和Mwenezi从2012年2月至8月。此外，在数据收集过程中还采用了关键信息提供者访谈和焦点小组讨论，并对收集到的数据进行了分析，以了解干旱历史和人口统计情况;干旱适应情况以及使用社会科学统计软件包在流域使用干旱预测方法的情况。结果-该文件揭示了降水预测Mzingwane社区之间的重要性越来越大，特别是量，时间，持续时间和distribut…
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to identify, analyse and document local traditional indicators used in drought forecasting in the Mzingwane Catchment and to assess the possibility of integrating traditional rainfall forecasting, using the local traditional indicators, with meteorological forecasting methods. Design/methodology/approach – Self-administered structured questionnaires were conducted on 101 respondents in four districts of the Mzingwane Catchment area, namely, Beitbridge, Mangwe, Esighodini and Mwenezi from February to August 2012. In addition, key informant interviews and focus group discussions were also used in data collection and the collected data were analysed for drought history and demographics; drought adaptation and the use of drought forecasting methods in the catchment using Statistical Package for Social Science. Findings – The paper reveals the growing importance of precipitation forecasts among Mzingwane communities, particularly the amount, timing, duration and distribut...