The Complexity and Instability of Policy Conditionality and Transfer: IMF Interventions in the Political Economy of South America.

The Complexity and Instability of Policy Conditionality and Transfer: IMF Interventions in the Political Economy of South America.
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政策条件和转移的复杂性和不稳定性:国际货币基金组织对南美政治经济的干预。

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发表时间:
2021
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Shadreck Mwale
Shadreck Mwale
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作者:
David Alemna;Kepa Artaraz;P. Haynes;Shadreck Mwale

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国际货币基金组织(货币基金组织)的干预措施在过去六十年中根据世界政治经济中占主导地位的正统观念而演变,近几十年来的重点是鼓励自由市场条件,以确保内向投资和资本流动。这导致了一个占主导地位的模式的政策条件和转让,但与辩论的上下文相关性。本文使用了一种创新的纵向研究方法,称为动态模式合成,比较了2000-2015年间南美国家的经济表现。使用该方法的结果说明了国际货币基金组织鼓励外国直接投资的结果的多重性。一个复杂的配置的影响,这一结果的证据。复杂性理论被用来解释这一结果,非洲大陆被定义为一个复杂的系统,它不会对简单的因果政策机制做出反应,而是在全球市场不稳定的背景下显示出不同的政治和经济影响模式。由此产生了不同的外国直接投资配置,这表明国际货币和政策干预需要根据具体情况而定,不能对政策问题及其机械解决办法作出简单化和普遍化的假设。
International Monetary Fund (IMF) interventions have evolved in the last sixty years based on the predominant orthodoxy in world political economy with a focus in recent decades on encouraging liberal market conditions to secure inward investment and capital flows. This has resulted in a dominant model of policy conditions and transfer, but with a debate about the contextual relevance. This paper uses an innovative approach to longitudinal research, called Dynamic Pattern Synthesis, to compare the economic performance of South American nations between 2000-2015. The results from using this method illustrates multifinality in the IMF outcome of encouraging foreign direct investment. A complex configuration of influences on this outcome are evidenced. Complexity theory is used to explain the results, with the continent defined as a complex system that does not respond to simple causal policy mechanisms, but rather displays different patterns of political and economic influence in the context of global market instability. Different foreign direct investment configurations result, and these illustrate that international monetary and policy interventions need to be contextual and cannot make simplistic and universal assumptions about policy problems and their mechanistic solutions.
DOI: 10.1080/13645579.2018.1563972
发表时间: 2019-01
影响因子: 3.3
作者:
B. Castellani;Peter Barbrook-Johnson;Corey Schimpf
通讯作者: B. Castellani;Peter Barbrook-Johnson;Corey Schimpf