People, Quakes, and Communications: Inferences from Call Dynamics about a Seismic Event and its Influences on a Population
People, Quakes, and Communications: Inferences from Call Dynamics about a Seismic Event and its Influences on a Population
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发表时间：
2010-03
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通讯作者：
Ashish Kapoor;N. Eagle;E. Horvitz
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作者：
Ashish Kapoor;N. Eagle;E. Horvitz
我们探讨的前景推断震中和影响的地震活动的变化，在手机塔记录的背景电话通信活动。特别是，我们探讨了在卢旺达调用数据的扰动，在2008年2月的中心在基伍湖地区的刚果民主共和国的地震。除了最初的地震事件，我们调查的挑战，评估分布的持续性的需求在地理区域，使用的持久性调用异常地震后的代理持久的影响和潜在的援助需求。我们还推断不确定性的推论，并考虑前景确定的价值进行调查的地区，使监测资源可以最好的分流。
We explore the prospect of inferring the epicenter and influences of seismic activity from changes in background phone communication activities logged at cell towers. In particular, we explore the perturbations in Rwandan call data invoked by an earthquake in February 2008 centered in the Lac Kivu region of the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Beyond the initial seismic event, we investigate the challenge of assessing the distribution of the persistence of needs over geographic regions, using the persistence of call anomalies after the earthquake as a proxy for lasting influences and the potential need for assistance. We also infer uncertainties in the inferences and consider the prospect of identifying the value of surveying the areas so that surveillance resources can be best triaged.