Leader Language and Political Survival Strategies

Leader Language and Political Survival Strategies
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领导者语言和政治生存策略

DOI:
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发表时间:
2018
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
John Kaltner
John Kaltner
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
L. Windsor;Nia Dowell;Alistair Windsor;John Kaltner

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专制领导人的语言为他们继续执政的生存策略提供了线索。这条调查路线符合新兴文献,将注意力从国家层面的特征重新集中到国家元首和政府首脑在国际关系中发挥的动态作用上,特别是在专制政权中。蓬勃发展的文本即数据领域可以用来加深我们对领导人生存和政治选择之间细微差别的理解;例如,语言可以作为领导认可的主要指标,这本身就是一个很好的预测领导者生存的指标。在本文中,我们将计算语言学工具应用于一个威权主义领导人语料库,该语料库由2009年至2012年间中东和北非国家9位领导人的102次演讲组成。我们发现这些领导人的语言存在系统性差异,这有助于提出一个更广泛适用的专制领导人语言和任期理论。
ABSTRACT Authoritarian leaders’ language provides clues to their survival strategies for remaining in office. This line of inquiry fits within an emerging literature that refocuses attention from state-level features to the dynamic role that individual heads of state and government play in international relations, especially in authoritarian regimes. The burgeoning text-as-data field can be used to deepen our understanding of the nuances of leader survival and political choices; for example, language can serve as a leading indicator of leader approval, which itself is a good predictor of leader survival. In this paper, we apply computational linguistics tools to an authoritarian leader corpus consisting of 102 speeches from nine leaders of countries across the Middle East and North Africa between 2009 and 2012. We find systematic differences in the language of these leaders, which help advance a more broadly applicable theory of authoritarian leader language and tenure.