Climate change impacts and adaptation in South Africa
Climate change impacts and adaptation in South Africa
复制标题
南非气候变化的影响和适应
DOI：
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发表时间：
2014
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通讯作者：
M. Warburton
中科院分区：
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作者：
G. Ziervogel;M. New;Emma Archer van Garderen;G. Midgley;Anna Taylor;R. Hamann;Sabine I. Stuart;J. Myers;M. Warburton
本文综述了南非气候影响与适应研究的当前方法和最新进展。南非有一个发达的地球系统科学研究项目，它支持为南部非洲地区开发的气候变化情景。关于气候变化对关键部门（水、农业和生物多样性）的生物物理影响的现有研究整合了气候变化情景，但在许多领域，如气候对城市和建筑环境的影响，还需要进一步研究。国家政府已经制定了《国家气候变化应对白皮书》，但这尚未转化为政策，将适应纳入日常实践的主流，并在所有领域和各级政府中进行长期规划。一个确定长期适应情景范围的国家进程正在进行中，其重点是国家一级适应反应的跨部门联系。某些部门正在出现适应措施。一些显著的城市规模和基于项目的适应措施已经实施，但体制挑战依然存在。此外，在气候变化的生物物理和社会经济影响方面仍存在许多知识空白。特别需要的是发展南非对气候变化进行综合评估的能力，以支持气候适应型发展规划。气候变化2014,5:605-620。doi: 10.1002 / wcc.295
In this paper we review current approaches and recent advances in research on climate impacts and adaptation in South Africa. South Africa has a well‐developed earth system science research program that underpins the climate change scenarios developed for the southern African region. Established research on the biophysical impacts of climate change on key sectors (water, agriculture, and biodiversity) integrates the climate change scenarios but further research is needed in a number of areas, such as the climate impacts on cities and the built environment. National government has developed a National Climate Change Response White Paper, but this has yet to translate into policy that mainstreams adaptation in everyday practice and longer‐term planning in all spheres and levels of government. A national process to scope long‐term adaptation scenarios is underway, focusing on cross‐sectoral linkages in adaptation responses at a national level. Adaptation responses are emerging in certain sectors. Some notable city‐scale and project‐based adaptation responses have been implemented, but institutional challenges persist. In addition, a number of knowledge gaps remain in relation to the biophysical and socio‐economic impacts of climate change. A particular need is to develop South Africa's capacity to undertake integrated assessments of climate change that can support climate‐resilient development planning. WIREs Clim Change 2014, 5:605–620. doi: 10.1002/wcc.295