Japan in the Gulf: Hedging between Washington and Tehran?

Japan in the Gulf: Hedging between Washington and Tehran?
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日本在海湾地区:华盛顿和德黑兰之间的对冲?

DOI:
10.1080/03932729.2022.2113659
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发表时间:
2022
期刊:
The International Spectator
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Yee-Kuang Heng
Yee-Kuang Heng
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
中田 邦博;鹿野 菜穂子;水内俊雄;西森利樹;磯部 哲;久保野 恵美子;C. Mai and A. Hibiki;Yee-Kuang Heng

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尽管日本在印度-太平洋地区维斯中国的对冲一直是学术分析的焦点,但对冲也在很大程度上解释了东京在海湾地区的政策选择。然而,现有文献在很大程度上忽略了日本在海湾地区的对冲行为,日本不得不应对美国和伊朗这两个竞争大国产生的不确定性。由于对冲理论首先关注的是风险,日本的政策表现出对管理风险和不一致或一致的不利后果的关注。然而,东京试图充当前外相河野太郎所说的“诚实的中间人”,却未能使其塑造不断演变的地区安全架构。日本在海湾地区更有效地部署对冲的倾向可能受到国内政治考虑、更接近本土的紧迫安全挑战以及已故前首相安倍晋三等日本主要政治家的个性的影响。
Whereas Japan’s hedging vis-à-vis China in the Indo-Pacific has predominantly been the focus of academic analysis, hedging also explains Tokyo’s policy choices in the Gulf to a significant degree. Yet, existing literature has largely overlooked Japan’s hedging behaviour in the Gulf, which had to navigate the uncertainties generated by two competing powers, the United States and Iran. As hedging theory is above all concerned with risk, Japan’s policies demonstrate a concern with managing risks and the adverse consequences of misalignment or alignment. Tokyo’s attempts to serve as what former Foreign Minister Kono Taro called an “honest broker”, however, have not enabled it to shape the evolving regional security architecture. Japan’s propensity to deploy hedging more effectively in the Gulf may be shaped by domestic political considerations, pressing security challenges closer to home and personalities of key Japanese politicians such as late former Prime Minister Abe Shinzo.
日本的外交政策
DOI: --
发表时间: 2018
期刊: Routledge Handbook of Politics in Asia
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