Registered Nurse Supply Grows Faster Than Projected Amid Surge In New Entrants Ages 23-26

Registered Nurse Supply Grows Faster Than Projected Amid Surge In New Entrants Ages 23-26
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DOI:
10.1377/hlthaff.2011.0588
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发表时间:
2011-12-01
期刊:
影响因子:
9.7
通讯作者:
Staiger, Douglas O.
Staiger, Douglas O.
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Auerbach, David I.;Buerhaus, Peter I.;Staiger, Douglas O.

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全国注册护士中绝大多数是妇女。在20世纪80年代和90年代,选择护理作为职业的23-26岁女性人数下降,导致人们担心除非扭转这一趋势,否则未来将出现护士短缺。然而,2002年至2009年期间,23-26岁的全职注册护士人数增加了62%。如果这些年轻的护士遵循相同的生命周期就业模式,因为他们之前的人,因为他们似乎到目前为止,那么他们将是最大的队列注册护士有史以来观察。由于在过去十年中进入护理行业的年轻人数量激增,预计未来二十年护士队伍的增长速度将超过先前的预期。然而,目前还不确定未来对护理的兴趣是否会继续增长。
The vast preponderance of the nation's registered nurses are women. In the 1980s and 1990s, a decline in the number of women ages 23-26 who were choosing nursing as a career led to concerns that there would be future nurse shortages unless the trend was reversed. Between 2002 and 2009, however, the number of full-time-equivalent registered nurses ages 23-26 increased by 62 percent. If these young nurses follow the same life-cycle employment patterns as those who preceded them-as they appear to be thus far-then they will be the largest cohort of registered nurses ever observed. Because of this surge in the number of young people entering nursing during the past decade, the nurse workforce is projected to grow faster during the next two decades than previously anticipated. However, it is uncertain whether interest in nursing will continue to grow in the future.