Participatory modelling for stakeholder involvement in the development of flood risk management intervention options
Participatory modelling for stakeholder involvement in the development of flood risk management intervention options
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DOI：
10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.04.027
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发表时间：
2016-08
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Maskrey;N. Mount;C. Thorne;I. Dryden
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Maskrey;N. Mount;C. Thorne;I. Dryden
在协商之外促进利益攸关方的参与为地方洪水风险管理提供了一系列好处，特别是在责任日益下放到地方一级的情况下。本文详细介绍了参与式方法的设计和实施，以确定管理当地洪水风险的干预方案。在这种方法中，贝叶斯网络被用来生成当地洪水风险系统的概念模型，特别关注不同的干预措施如何实现九个参与者目标中的每一个。该模型由洪水风险专家和当地利益相关者共同构建。该研究采用了一种新的评估框架，审查了过程及其结果（短期实质性和长期社会效益）。它的结论是，参与式建模技术可以促进广泛的利益相关者确定干预方案，并优先考虑进一步调查的子集。它们可以帮助支持利益相关者更广泛地积极参与当地洪水风险管理。
Advancing stakeholder participation beyond consultation offers a range of benefits for local flood risk management, particularly as responsibilities are increasingly devolved to local levels. This paper details the design and implementation of a participatory approach to identify intervention options for managing local flood risk. Within this approach, Bayesian networks were used to generate a conceptual model of the local flood risk system, with a particular focus on how different interventions might achieve each of nine participant objectives. The model was co-constructed by flood risk experts and local stakeholders. The study employs a novel evaluative framework, examining both the process and its outcomes (short-term substantive and longer-term social benefits). It concludes that participatory modelling techniques can facilitate the identification of intervention options by a wide range of stakeholders, and prioritise a subset for further investigation. They can help support a broader move towards active stakeholder participation in local flood risk management.