Development of method for estimation of world industrial energy consumption and its application
Development of method for estimation of world industrial energy consumption and its application
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DOI：
10.1016/j.eneco.2011.01.010
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发表时间：
2011-05-01
期刊：
影响因子：
12.8
通讯作者：
Matsuoka, Yuzuru
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Fujimori, Shinichiro;Matsuoka, Yuzuru
国际能源署（IEA）公布的能源平衡是涵盖世界能源供需的最有价值的能源统计资料之一。然而，当直接分析或使用这些数据时，会出现一些问题。即使只检查工业能源消耗，至少也会遇到三种类型的问题：数据缺失，一些国家大量的数据分配不当，以及时间序列变化中的许多不切实际的异常值。当我们只处理少数区域时，我们可以逐个查看数据并修改它们。在这种情况下，我们将用一种系统的方法来克服这些问题，因为数据涵盖了世界上一百多个地区。本文提出了一种数据协调方法来处理这些问题，并介绍了其在世界工业能耗中的应用。由于它的应用，我们发现上面提到的三个问题似乎被克服了。从区域协调程度来看，经合组织国家的协调程度往往小于非经合组织国家。然而，并不是所有的经合组织国家都有低价值，一些国家，如美国，有高价值。(c) 2011 Elsevier B.V.版权所有
The energy balances published by the International Energy Agency (IEA) are one of the most valuable sources of energy statistics covering world energy supply and demand. However, some issues arise when these data are analyzed or used directly. Even when industrial energy consumption alone is examined, at least three types of issues are encountered: missing data, large amounts of misallocated data in some countries, and numerous unrealistic outliers in the time-series variations. When we deal with only a few regions, we can look at data one by one and modify them. In this case, we are going to overcome these issues with a systematic method because the data covers world including more than a hundred regions.This paper proposes a data reconciliation method to treat these issues, and describes its application to world industrial energy consumption. As a result of its application, we found that the three issues mentioned above seemed to be overcome. The degree of the reconciliation by region showed that OECD countries' degree tends to be smaller than those of non-OECD countries. However, not all of the OECD countries have low values and some countries, such as the United States, have high values. (c) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.