Application of an operational storm coastal impact forecasting system
Application of an operational storm coastal impact forecasting system
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DOI：
10.1080/1755876x.2013.11020142
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发表时间：
2013-02-01
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
Lymbery, G.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Souza, A. J.;Brown, J. M.;Lymbery, G.
国家海洋学中心（NOC）与英国气象局合作，为爱尔兰海开发了一套可操作的模型。这项工作扩展了该套件，包括利物浦湾塞夫顿海岸的沿海脆弱性预警系统。该系统旨在预测近海水动力和海浪条件何时超过低、中、高风暴影响危险阈值，并指示沙丘侵蚀的程度。该模型模拟了一个72小时的周期（昨天：今天：明天），允许24小时的旋转周期和48小时的预测。该系统的主要思想是利用对即将来临的风暴的预测来协助管理决策。
The National Oceanography Centre (NOC), in collaboration with the UK Met Office, has developed an operational suite of models for the Irish Sea. This work has extended this suite to include a coastal vulnerability early warning system for the Sefton Coast in Liverpool Bay. The system is designed to forecast when the offshore hydrodynamic and wave conditions exceed thresholds for low, moderate and high hazard of storm impact and also gives an indication of the extent of dune erosion. The model simulates a 72h period (yesterday:today:tomorrow), allowing a 24h spin-up period and 48h forecast. The main idea of the system is to use forecasts for impending storms to assist with management decisions.