Attitudes on Family Law as an Electoral Cleavage: Survey Evidence from Tunisia

Attitudes on Family Law as an Electoral Cleavage: Survey Evidence from Tunisia
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对家庭法作为选举分裂的态度:来自突尼斯的调查证据

DOI:
10.1163/18763375-01202003
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发表时间:
2020
影响因子:
1
通讯作者:
Salih Yasun
Salih Yasun
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
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作者:
Salih Yasun

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中东和北非地区的大多数社会都受到严格的家庭法的约束。这些法律会影响选民的决定吗?在这篇文章中,我认为,公众对家庭法的态度构成了一个问题为基础的社会分裂在突尼斯,我研究家庭法的影响,无论是个人投票给Ennahda,最大的保守党,或Nidaa Tounes,专制的继承人党。对非洲晴雨表数据进行的多项Logistic回归的结果表明,对妇女继承权持平等主义观点的人不太可能投票给Ennahda,而更有可能投票给Nidaa Tounes,而对妇女离婚权和投票的意见之间没有统计学上的显著关系。这些研究结果表明,对家庭法条款的态度是新兴民主国家社会分裂的另一个来源,这可能与中东和北非其他国家的环境有关。
Most societies in the Middle East and North Africa region (mena) are subject to strict family laws. Do these laws affect voters’ decisions? In this article, I argue that public attitudes on family law constitute an issue-based social cleavage in Tunisia, and I examine the influence of family law on whether individuals vote for Ennahda, the largest conservative party, or Nidaa Tounes, the authoritarian successor party. Findings from a Multinomial Logistic Regression on Afrobarometer data indicate that individuals who hold more egalitarian views on women’s inheritance rights are less likely to vote for Ennahda and more likely to vote for Nidaa Tounes, whereas there is no statistically significant relationship between opinions on women’s divorce rights and voting. These study findings suggest that the attitudes on provisions of family law are an alternative source of social cleavage in emerging democracies, which can have relevance in other country settings in the mena.