Beyond the tip of the iceberg: direct and indirect effects of COVID-19.
Beyond the tip of the iceberg: direct and indirect effects of COVID-19.
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DOI:
10.1016/s2589-7500(21)00024-8
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发表时间:
2021-04
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Del Grande C
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
Kaczorowski J;Del Grande C
As we enter the second year of the COVID-19 pandemic, with more than 2 million confirmed deaths worldwide, 1 it is increasingly apparent that, as tragic and grim as this statistic is, it might be just the tip of the iceberg with respect to the collateral damage inflicted on the social, economic, psychological, and physical wellbeing of people around the world. Furthermore, many of these consequences will not only reverberate for months and years to come, but will also have unequal and profound effects on different societies and specific subgroups within societies.The study by Kathryn Mansfield and colleagues2 in The Lancet Digital Health is both timely and relevant as many jurisdictions around the world have implemented or are in the process of implementing second and third waves of lockdowns. The authors used electronic primary care health records of a nationally representative sample of nearly 10 million people in the UK (13% of the total population) to describe and quantify the indirect effects of COVID-19 restriction measures on weekly primary care contacts for mental health, acute alcohol-related events, asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations, and cardiovascular and diabetic emergencies up to July, 2020. The results showed that weekly primary care contacts for these physical and mental health conditions fell significantly after the introduction of lockdowns in March, 2020, and—with the exception of unstable angina and acute alcohol-related contacts—remained below pre-lockdown levels. The authors concluded that these reductions were likely to represent a substantial burden of unmet need (particularly for mental health conditions), with potential implications for subsequent morbidity and premature mortality. The findings around mental health contacts are particularly disturbing. Although the historical averages based on pre-lockdown levels are quite appropriate for other conditions included in the analysis, the possible burden of unmet mental health problems might have been even greater than reported as a result of the stressors induced by the pandemic and related restrictions. 3, 4 Other collateral damage of the lockdowns has been to patients with a range of non-acute