Orphans and schooling in Africa: A longitudinal analysis

Orphans and schooling in Africa: A longitudinal analysis
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DOI:
10.1353/dem.2007.0002
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发表时间:
2007-02-01
期刊:
影响因子:
3.5
通讯作者:
Miguel, Edward
Miguel, Edward
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Evans, David K.;Miguel, Edward

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艾滋病死亡会影响下一代的人力资本积累,从而对经济发展产生重大影响。我们使用一个不寻常的五年面板数据集,超过20000名肯尼亚儿童估计父母死亡对小学入学率的影响。父母死亡后,入学率大幅下降,死亡前下降幅度较小(可能是由于死亡前发病率)。在没有个体固定效应的规范中,估计的影响较小,这表明基于横截面数据的估计值偏向于零。对于母亲死亡的儿童,以及在一项新的发现中,对于那些基线学习成绩较低的儿童,影响最大。
AIDS deaths could have a major impact on economic development by affecting the human capital accumulation of the next generation. We estimate the impact of parent death on primary school participation using an unusual five-year panel data set of over 20, 000 Kenyan children. There is a substantial decrease in school participation following a parent death and a smaller drop before the death (presumably due to pre-death morbidity). Estimated impacts are smaller in specifications without individual fixed effects, suggesting that estimates based on cross-sectional data are biased toward zero. Effects are largest for children whose mothers died and, in a novel finding, for those with low baseline academic performance.