China and Brazil: Economic Impacts of a Growing Relationship
China and Brazil: Economic Impacts of a Growing Relationship
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DOI：
10.1177/186810261204100102
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发表时间：
2012-03
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
R. Jenkins
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
R. Jenkins
本文分析了中国重新崛起对巴西的经济影响，既考察了中国对巴西双边贸易和投资流动的直接影响，也考察了制成品出口市场竞争加剧和初级商品世界价格上涨所带来的间接影响。尽管2010年中国对巴西的直接投资激增，但双边关系的主要驱动力仍然是贸易。尽管双边贸易增长迅速，但出现的格局引起了人们的担忧，因为巴西的出口集中在少数初级产品，而从中国进口的几乎全部是技术日益复杂的制成品。巴西在短期内受益于初级商品的高价格（部分是由于中国需求的增长），但失去了向中国出口制成品的市场，导致该国出口篮子的“初级化”。
The paper analyses the economic impacts of China's re-emergence on Brazil, looking at both the direct effects of China on Brazil in terms of bilateral trade and investment flows and the indirect effects through increased competition in export markets for manufactured goods and higher world prices for primary commodities. Despite a surge in Chinese FDI in Brazil in 2010, the main driver of bilateral relations is trade. While bilateral trade has grown rapidly, the pattern that has emerged has given rise to concern because Brazil's exports are concentrated in a small number of primary products while imports from China are almost entirely of manufactured goods that are becoming more technologically sophisticated over time. Brazil has benefitted in the short term from the high prices of primary commodities (partly caused by growing Chinese demand), but has lost export markets to China in manufactures, contributing to the “primarization” of the country's export basket.