“Trump’s First Year in Asia: Accelerating a Long-term Trend”
“Trump’s First Year in Asia: Accelerating a Long-term Trend”
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“特朗普在亚洲的第一年：加速长期趋势”
DOI：
10.1163/18765610-02502002
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
David C. Kang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
David C. Kang
唐纳德·J·特朗普的总统任期对美国在东亚的地位有什么影响？特朗普已经表现出颠覆美国主流对东亚大战略共识的倾向，与中国爆发贸易战或与朝鲜爆发枪战的真实的可能性即将到来。然而，本文将把特朗普总统上任的第一年置于美国在东亚的领导力和影响力长期下降的大背景下，认为这一趋势已经持续了相当长的一段时间，特朗普并没有从根本上改变这一轨迹。特朗普的一些行动可能会加速美国领导力的下降，但特朗普绝不是第一个也不会是最后一个处理迅速变化的东亚的美国总统。几十年来，该地区一直在迅速变化，没有迹象表明这种变化会很快停止。然而，美国继续和逐步退出领导地位并不意味着美国与东亚的互动减少。在可预见的未来，东亚仍将是美国最重要的贸易和投资地区。
What has been the impact of Donald J. Trump’s presidency on the place of the United States in East Asia? Trump already has shown a proclivity for upending the mainstream American consensus about grand strategy to East Asia, with the real possibility of a trade war with China or a shooting war with North Korea on the horizon. However, this article will place President Trump’s first year in office into a larger context of long-term decline of U.S. leadership and influence in East Asia, arguing that this trend has been underway for quite some time, and that Trump has not altered fundamentally this trajectory. Some of Trump’s actions may accelerate a decline in U.S. leadership, but by no means was Trump the first nor will he be the last U.S. president to deal with a swiftly changing East Asia. The region has been changing rapidly for decades, and there are no indications that this will stop anytime soon. However, continuing and gradual U.S. withdrawal from leadership does not mean less American-East Asia interaction. East Asia will remain the most important trading and investment region for the U.S. for the foreseeable future.
秩序之争：冷战后东亚的霸权、等级制度与转型
DOI：
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
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影响因子：
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作者：
Goh
通讯作者：
Goh