When Less Is More: Constructing a Parsimonious Concept of Interstate Peace for Quantitative Analysis

When Less Is More: Constructing a Parsimonious Concept of Interstate Peace for Quantitative Analysis
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当少即是多时:为定量分析构建简约的州际和平概念

DOI:
10.1093/isr/vix002
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发表时间:
2017
影响因子:
3.3
通讯作者:
Kasten
Kasten
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kasten

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和平研究人员最近开始开发数据集,以便区分不同级别的州际和平。在这篇文章中,我首先论证了现有的概念化和度量在不同程度上受到两个主要规范问题的影响:一方面,它们面临着我所说的“本体负载不足”的问题,因为它们不包括所有基本的构成维度。另一方面,他们面临着“本体论超载”的问题,因为他们将内生因素整合在一起,而内生因素应该更好地理解为不同水平和平的外生原因。我提出了一个新的概念P*来避免这两个问题。P*是基于一个深刻而简明的本体论,允许直接的理论表述和实证分析。它包含三个维度-行为、预期和持续/稳定-使我们能够区分不同级别的州际和平。在本文中,我还将讨论如何将P*用于126个二元组的数据集。
Peace researchers have recently started to develop datasets that allow distinguishing between different levels of interstate peace. In this article, I first argue that existing conceptualizations and measurements suffer—to varying degrees—from two major specification problems: on the one hand, they face problems of what I call “ontological underload,” as they do not include all essential constitutive dimensions. On the other hand, they face problems of “ontological overload,” as they integrate factors as endogenous dimensions that should better be understood as exogenous causes of different levels of peace. I propose a new conceptP*that avoids both problems.P*is based on a profound and parsimonious ontology that allows for straightforward theory formulation and empirical analysis. It incorporates three dimensions—behavior, expectations, and duration/stability—that allow us to differentiate between different levels of interstate peace. In this article, I also discuss how P* can be operationalized for a dataset of 126 dyads.
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