Clean Generation Technologies in Chinese Power Sector: Penetration Thresholds and Supporting Policies
Clean Generation Technologies in Chinese Power Sector: Penetration Thresholds and Supporting Policies
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DOI：
10.1016/j.egypro.2015.07.556
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发表时间：
2015-08
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Jingxuan Hui;W. Cai;Min Ye;C. Wang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Jingxuan Hui;W. Cai;Min Ye;C. Wang
中国作为世界能源消费大国之一，面临着能源安全、温室气体排放控制和环境保护的巨大压力。占中国能源相关排放的一半，中国电力行业尤其需要快速发展清洁发电技术。然而，目前的发展速度还不够快，人们对清洁发电技术的关键发展门槛知之甚少。基于上述原因，本研究采用MESEIC （Multi-regional model For Energy Supply system and their Environmental ImpaCts）模型，为中国电力行业提供建议性路线图。本研究通过不同的情景，揭示了各种清洁发电技术的渗透阈值，并在不同的时间尺度提出了突破阈值的政策建议。以太阳能发电为例，短期阈值为其发电成本。建议的解决方案是制定促进政策，如上网电价（0.45元/千瓦时）、可再生能源投资组合标准、可再生能源证书交易、税收激励等。长期门槛是地理限制，可以通过提高电网输送能力和发展分布式太阳能来解决。
As one of the top energy consumption country, China is under huge pressure of energy security, GHG emission control and environmental protection. Accounting for half of China energy-related emission, Chinese power sector especially need a quick development of clean generation technologies. However, the current developing speed is not enough and the crucial development thresholds of clean generation technologies are poorly understood. For these reasons, this study uses MESEIC (Multi-regional model for Energy Supply system and their Environmental ImpaCts) model to offer a suggested roadmap for Chinese power sector. Through different scenarios, this study sheds light on the penetration thresholds of various clean generation technologies and put forward policy suggestions in different time-scale for breaking out the thresholds. Setting solar power case as an example, the short-term threshold is its generating cost. The suggested solution is enacting promotional policies, such as feed-in tariffs (0.45 RMB/kWh), renewable portfolio standards, renewable energy certificate trading, tax based incentives etc. The long-term threshold is geography limitation, which can be solved by improving the power grid transmission capacity and developing distributed solar energy.