Simulating urban growth by integrating landscape expansion index (LEI) and cellular automata

Simulating urban growth by integrating landscape expansion index (LEI) and cellular automata
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通过整合景观扩张指数 (LEI) 和元胞自动机来模拟城市增长

DOI:
10.1080/13658816.2013.831097
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发表时间:
2014-01-02
影响因子:
5.7
通讯作者:
He, Zhijian
He, Zhijian
中科院分区:
地球科学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Liu, Xiaoping;Ma, Lei;He, Zhijian

文献摘要

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传统的城市元胞自动机(CA)模型可以有效地模拟城市的填充和边缘扩展增长模式。然而,这些模型大多无法模拟外围的增长。本文提出了一种新的模型LEI-CA,它结合了景观扩展指数(LEI)和CA来模拟城市增长。通过计算各单元的LEI指数来识别城市增长类型。采用基于实例的推理技术,分别对相邻生长类型和远离生长类型发现不同的过渡规则。本文应用LEI-CA模型对东莞市的城市增长进行了模拟。通过与基于逻辑的CA和LEI-CA的比较,表明LEI-CA具有更好的性能。1993年、1999年和2005年,LEI-CA模型比基于物流的CA模型分别提高了13.8%、10.8%和6.9%的城市模拟精度。此外,基于逻辑的元胞自动机模型几乎不存在外围增长类型的模拟,而建议的LEI-CA模型在模拟不同的城市增长模式表现良好。实验表明,LEI-CA模型不仅克服了传统CA模型的不足,而且能够更好地理解城市演化过程。
Traditional urban cellular automata (CA) model can effectively simulate infilling and edge-expansion growth patterns. However, most of these models are incapable of simulating the outlying growth. This paper proposed a novel model called LEI-CA which incorporates landscape expansion index (LEI) with CA to simulate urban growth. Urban growth type is identified by calculating the LEI index of each cell. Case-based reasoning technique is used to discover different transition rules for the adjacent growth type and the outlying growth type, respectively. We applied the LEI-CA model to the simulation of urban growth in Dongguan in southern China. The comparison between logistic-based CA and LEI-CA indicates that the latter can yield a better performance. The LEI-CA model can improve urban simulation accuracy over logistic-based CA by 13.8%, 10.8% and 6.9% in 1993, 1999 and 2005, respectively. Moreover, the outlying growth type hardly exists in the simulation by logistic-based CA, while the proposed LEI-CA model performs well in simulating different urban growth patterns. Our experiments illustrate that the LEI-CA model not only overcomes the deficiencies of traditional CA but might also better understand urban evolution process.