Exorcising Malthusian ghosts: Vaccinating the Nexus to advance integrated water, energy and food resource resilience
Exorcising Malthusian ghosts: Vaccinating the Nexus to advance integrated water, energy and food resource resilience
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DOI：
10.1016/j.crsust.2021.100108
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发表时间：
2022
影响因子：
4.4
通讯作者：
P. Kemp;M. Acuto;S. Larcom;D. Lumbroso;M. Owen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
P. Kemp;M. Acuto;S. Larcom;D. Lumbroso;M. Owen
水-能源-粮食（WEF）关系的相互作用从看似消极和棘手的邪恶问题到增强可持续性的机会不等。本文旨在回顾世界经济论坛资源相互作用的认识现状，并为加强资源综合管理提供路线图。基于专家见解和经验的定性视角得到了对文献更定量的系统分析的支持，以定义Nexus相互作用，描述不同挑战的性质，并探索影响它们的因素。我们发现，Nexus的挑战和相关的相互作用（如权衡和协同作用）随着复杂性和时空尺度的变化而变化，研究和文化上的偏见成为了进步的障碍。需要一种跨学科的方法，通过使用精心安排的冲击（例如，历史类比、预测建模、实验和情景规划）来制定技术解决方案，以“为Nexus接种疫苗”并提高系统弹性。要实现这一目标，就必须发展多学科能力，在保护专长的同时解决跨学科的挑战。我们认识到，通过拥抱复杂性和“联结（或系统）思维”，未来的资源管理整合可以通过全人教育、跨学科研究和跨部门政策和治理来促进。
Water-Energy-Food (WEF) Nexus interactions vary from seemingly negative and intractable wicked problems to opportunities for enhanced sustainability. The aim of this paper is to review the current state of understanding on WEF resource interactions and to provide a roadmap to enhance integrated resource management. A qualitative perspective based on expert insight and experience was supported by a more quantitative systematic analysis of the literature to define Nexus interactions, describe the nature of different challenges, and explore the factors that influence them. We found that Nexus challenges, and associated interactions (e.g. trade-offs and synergies), vary with complexity and spatial and temporal scale, and biases in research and culture act as barriers to progress. An interdisciplinary approach is needed to develop technical solutions employed through the use of orchestrated shocks (e.g. historic analogues, predictive modelling, experimentation, and scenario planning) to “Vaccinate the Nexus” and improve system resilience. To achieve this, multidisciplinary capability should be developed to solve interdisciplinary challenges, while protecting specialism. It is recognised that through embracing complexity and “Nexus (or Systems) Thinking”, future integration of resource management may be facilitated through holistic education, informed by interdisciplinary research, and ingrained in cross-sector policy and governance.