Central European air temperature: driving force analysis and causal influence of NAO

Central European air temperature: driving force analysis and causal influence of NAO
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中欧气温:NAO 的驱动力分析和因果影响

DOI:
10.1007/s00704-018-2676-1
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发表时间:
2018-10
影响因子:
3.4
通讯作者:
Palus Milan
Palus Milan
中科院分区:
地球科学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Wang Geli;Zhang Nannan;Fan Kaiyu;Palus Milan

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因果关系的确定是气候变化研究中的核心问题。在本文中,利用慢特征分析和收敛交叉映射,对北大西洋涛动(NAO)对中欧气温的驱动力分析及因果影响进行了研究。结果……
The identification of causality is the core issue in climate change studies. In this paper, driving force analysis and causal influence of NAO for Central European air temperature is presented using slow feature analysis and convergent cross-mapping. Results showed that the driving force of the dominate 7–8 year scale was reconstructed with central European surface air temperature (SAT), this interannual variability may be driven by large-scale climate variability modes such as North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) based on the previous studies. Then, the possible dynamical causal relation between NAO and SAT in central European was presented; it was indicative that the air temperature variability in Central European uncovers causal influence by NAO.
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