Policy modeling under fixed and flexible price regimes: SAM-CGE transitional applications to Poland and Hungary
Policy modeling under fixed and flexible price regimes: SAM-CGE transitional applications to Poland and Hungary
复制标题
固定和灵活价格制度下的政策建模：SAM-CGE 在波兰和匈牙利的过渡应用
DOI：
10.1016/0161-8938(95)00130-1
复制
发表时间：
1996
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Z. Żółkiewski
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
M. Braber;Shimrit Cohen;T. Révész;Z. Żółkiewski
从计划经济向市场经济转变的正确途径是一个非常有争议的问题。一些经济学家使用”休克疗法”一词来强调消费者和生产者改变心态的必要性。另一些人主张采取”渐进”的方式进行经济结构调整。有些人支持将这两种方法结合起来。目前还没有一个业务框架能够对这些选择进行相互评估，或能够监测所作任何选择的实际结果。在价格变化剧烈和关系不稳定的情况下，这一点就变得非常困难，因为在过渡期间无法可靠地汇总数据和建立经验模型。不那么雄心勃勃，但仍然有助于反映转型过程的绩效方面，是一个比较静态的分析基础上的社会核算矩阵，SAM和可计算的一般均衡模型，CGE。SAM可以被视为
The proper approach to the transformation of the planningoriented economies to market-oriented economies is a very controversial subject. Some economists have used the term" shock therapy" to emphasize the necessity of a change in mentality among consumers and producers. Others advocate a" gradual" approach to economic restructuring. Some support a combination of the two approaches. There are momentarily no operational frameworks that are able to appraise such choices against each other, or are able to monitor the actual results of any choice made. This is rendered most difficult in situations of hectic price changes and unstable relations that preclude the possibility of a reliable aggregation of data and empirical modeling during transition. Less ambitious, but nevertheless helpful in reflecting on performance aspects of the transformation process, is a comparative static analysis based on social accounting matrices, SAM, and computable general equilibrium models, CGE. The SAM can be seen as