Tropical cyclone-induced coastal sea level projection and the adaptation to a changing climate
Tropical cyclone-induced coastal sea level projection and the adaptation to a changing climate
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热带气旋引起的沿海海平面预测和对气候变化的适应
DOI：
10.1017/cft.2022.6
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发表时间：
2022
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Shimura Tomoya
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Mori Nobuhito;Shimura Tomoya
热带气旋 (TC) 在中纬度地区造成严重的沿海洪水。虽然 IPCC 第五次评估报告（AR5，2013 年）重点关注平均海平面上升，但最近的进展（例如 IPCC 第六次评估报告，AR6，2021 年）显示了风暴潮和极端水位波浪变化导致沿海洪水的重要性。 TC强度和路径变化都与未来中纬度地区极端风暴潮和波浪气候的变化有关。这篇简短的回顾总结了极端水位的历史和未来长期变化、风暴潮增加的贡献以及监测数据和气候预测的波高。此外，还介绍了风暴潮和极端波浪变化影响评估的几个例子。
Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause severe coastal flooding in the middle latitudes. While the IPCC Fifth Assessment Reports (AR5, 2013) have focused on mean sea-level rise, recent advances (e.g., IPCC Sixth Assessment Reports, AR6, 2021) have shown the importance of storm surges and wave changes in extreme water levels causing coastal flooding. Both TC intensity and track changes are linked to future changes in extreme storm surges and wave climates in middle latitudes. This brief review summarizes historical and future long-term changes in extreme water levels, the contribution of increased storm surges, and wave height by the monitoring data and climate projections. In addition, several examples of impact assessment of storm surges and extreme wave changes are presented.