Aging Vehicles: Evidence of the Effectiveness of New Car Security from the Home Office Car Theft Index
Aging Vehicles: Evidence of the Effectiveness of New Car Security from the Home Office Car Theft Index
复制标题
老化车辆：来自内政部汽车防盗指数的新车安全有效性证据
DOI：
10.1057/palgrave.sj.8340139
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发表时间：
2003
期刊：
影响因子：
1.2
通讯作者：
Nerys Thomas
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Rick Brown;Nerys Thomas
1998年10月，欧盟立法规定英国所有新汽车必须安装电子防盗装置。这已被广泛认为是减少车辆被盗风险的有效方法。然而，迄今为止，还没有系统地评估以这种方式引入电子防盗系统的有效性。本文报告了一项研究，旨在衡量欧盟立法对英国汽车盗窃模式的有效性。使用来自内政部汽车盗窃指数的数据，研究了两种相互竞争的理论，预测随着时间的推移，车辆安全性的提高将如何影响车辆盗窃率。研究发现，有证据表明强制车辆固定有效降低了盗窃率。然而，似乎也出现了一些新旧车辆的转移，尽管这被盗窃率降低的总体收益所抵消。研究报告最后承认，需要根据分类数据而不是本文提出的汇总统计数据进行进一步研究。
In October 1998, EU legislation made the fitting of electronic immobilisers mandatory on all new cars in the UK. This has been widely recognised as an effective method for reducing the risk of vehicle theft. However, to date there has been no systematic evaluation of the effectiveness of introducing electronic immobilisers in this way. This paper reports on a study that set out to measure the effectiveness of the EU legislation on car theft patterns in the UK. Using data from the Home Office Car Theft Index, two competing theories that predict how improved vehicle security would affect vehicle theft rates over time were examined. The study finds evidence that compulsory immobilisation of vehicles has been effective in reducing theft rates. However, there would also appear to have been some displacement towards both older and newer vehicles, although this is outweighed by overall gains in terms of lower theft rates. The study concludes with a recognition that further research is required, based on disaggregate data, rather than on the aggregate statistics presented in this paper.