Embracing uncertainty: A discursive approach to understanding pathways for climate adaptation in Senegal
Embracing uncertainty: A discursive approach to understanding pathways for climate adaptation in Senegal
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拥抱不确定性：理解塞内加尔气候适应路径的话语方法
DOI：
10.1007/s10113-019-01495-7
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发表时间：
2019
影响因子：
4.2
通讯作者：
Ayeb-Karlsson S
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ayeb-Karlsson S
气候变化有可能增加干旱和洪水的频率和强度。未来的未知数和社会对这些威胁的反应存在很大的不确定性。“不确定性”和其他前缀为“un”（未知，未知，动荡）的单词一样，往往具有负面含义。然而，不确定性几乎体现在我们所做的一切。对科学界的许多人来说，不确定性类似于应该最小化的错误，需要纠正的知识缺乏。我们认为，不确定性，而应该接受作为一个起点，讨论气候适应的途径。在这里，我们遵循“适应之路”的定义，它代表了当前的一系列积极变化，将人们从气候不安全的地方转移到安全的位置（自我定义为代表免受伤害或不利影响）。本文采用了一种话语间的分析方法，其中（联合国）确定性和（联合国）安全性被用来加深对塞内加尔人民的立场及其生计的理解，就气候灾害而言。我们研究了活跃在气候适应空间中的话语社会文化价值。我们的研究结果表明，人们的适应性决定往往不是基于气候信息，而是基于话语价值观和情感，这些价值观和情感引导他们朝着感觉正确的方向做出反应。我们的结论是，承认不同的理解和不确定性的看法，并实现安全的目标，允许权力的问题进行讨论。我们认为，这一进程有助于阐明如何引导适应气候变异和变化影响的途径。
Climate change threatens to increase the frequency and intensity of droughts and floods. There are large uncertainties related to unknowns around the future and society’s responses to these threats. ‘Uncertainty’ as other words with the prefix ‘un’ (unknown, untold, unrest) often has negative connotations. Yet, uncertainty is manifested in virtually everything we do. To many in science, uncertainty is akin to error that should be minimised, a lack of knowledge that needs to be rectified. We argue that uncertainty rather should be embraced as a starting point for discussing pathways to climate adaptation. Here we follow a definition of ‘pathways to adaptation’ as representing a set of proactive changes in the present that move people from a climatically unsafe place, to positions of safety (self-defined as representing freedom from harm or adverse effect). This article applies an inter-discursive analytical approach where (un)certainty and (un)safety are used to deepen the understanding around the positions of people in Senegal, and their livelihoods, with respect to climate hazards. We examine the discursive socio-cultural values active in the climate adaptive space. Our findings show that people’s adaptive decisions often were not based on climate information, but on discursive values and emotions that guided them in the direction of responses that felt right. We conclude that acknowledging different understandings and perceptions of uncertainty, and the goal of achieving safety, allows issues of power to be discussed. We contend that this process helps illuminate how to navigate pathways of adaptation to the impacts of climate variability and change.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.ijdrr.2014.01.003
发表时间：
2014-06-01
影响因子：
5
作者：
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DOI：
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发表时间：
2015
期刊：
International Journal of Chemistry
影响因子：
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作者：
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影响因子：
3.5
作者：
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DOI：
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发表时间：
1993
期刊：
影响因子：
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作者：
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通讯作者：
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影响因子：
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作者：
Vivian-Byrne, SE
通讯作者：
Vivian-Byrne, SE