Restrictions in pub closing times and lockouts in Newcastle, Australia five years on
Restrictions in pub closing times and lockouts in Newcastle, Australia five years on
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DOI：
10.1111/dar.12123
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发表时间：
2014-05-01
影响因子：
3.8
通讯作者：
Miller, Peter
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Kypri, Kypros;McElduff, Patrick;Miller, Peter
介绍和目标。2008年，澳大利亚纽卡斯尔中央商务区（CBD）的酒吧关门时间被限制在早上5点到凌晨3点30分。此前的一项研究显示，在限制后的18个月内，袭击事件减少了三分之一。我们评估了在接下来的3.5年里袭击率是否保持较低，以及在附近的汉密尔顿实施“封锁”是否与那里袭击事件的减少有关。设计和方法。我们使用了前后设计，并与两个变更后时期进行了比较。研究背景是大纽卡斯尔（人口53万），研究对象是在中央商务区和附近的汉密尔顿因袭击而被捕的人，2010年，该地区的酒吧营业时间较晚，实施了封锁和其他策略。案件是警方记录的袭击逮捕发生在晚上10点至早上6点的一个变化前时期：2001年1月至2008年3月，以及两个变化后时期：（i）2008年4月至2009年9月和（ii）2009年10月至2013年3月。负二项回归长期趋势和季节性影响的条款被用来估计后1：前和后2：前发病率比和置信区间。结果在CBD，记录的袭击事件从限制前的99起/季度下降到第一个变更后时期的68起/季度[发病率比（IRR）0.67，95%置信区间（CI）0.55-0.82]和变更后后期的71起/季度（IRR：0.68，95% CI：0.55-0.85）。在汉密尔顿的同一时期，袭击率分别为每季度23、24和22起。讨论和结论。关闭时间的限制与纽卡斯尔中央商务区持续较低的袭击率有关。我们没有发现任何证据表明，在汉密尔顿，停工和其他出口管理策略是有效的。[Kypri K，McElduff P，米勒P.限制酒吧关闭时间和锁定在纽卡斯尔澳大利亚5年后.药物酒精Rev 2014;33：323-326]
Introduction and Aims. In 2008 pub closing times were restricted from 5am to 3:30am in the central business district (CBD) of Newcastle, Australia. A previous study showed a one-third reduction in assaults in the 18 months following the restriction. We assessed whether the assault rate remained lower over the following 3.5 years and whether the introduction of a 'lockout' in nearby Hamilton was associated with a reduction in assaults there. Design and Methods. We used a pre-post design with comparison against two post-change periods. The setting was Greater Newcastle (population 530 000) and subjects were persons apprehended for assault in the CBD and nearby Hamilton, an area with late trading pubs where a lockout and other strategies were implemented in 2010. Cases were police-recorded assault apprehensions occurring from 10pm to 6am in one pre-change period: January 2001 to March 2008, and two post-change periods: (i) April 2008 to September 2009 and (ii) October 2009 to March 2013. Negative binomial regression with terms for secular trend and seasonal effects was used to estimate Post1: Pre and Post2: Pre Incidence Rate Ratios and confidence intervals. Results. In the CBD recorded assaults fell from 99/quarter before the restriction to 68/quarter in the first post-change period [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.67, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.55-0.82] and 71/quarter (IRR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.55-0.85) in the later post-change period. In the same periods in Hamilton, assault rates were 23, 24, and 22 per quarter respectively. Discussion and Conclusions. The restriction in closing time was associated with a sustained lower assault rate in the Newcastle CBD. We find no evidence that lockouts and other outlet management strategies were effective in Hamilton. [Kypri K, McElduff P, Miller P. Restrictions in pub closing times and lockouts in Newcastle Australia 5 years on. Drug Alcohol Rev 2014;33:323-326]