Effects of recent energy price reductions on U.S. agriculture.

Effects of recent energy price reductions on U.S. agriculture.
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最近能源价格下降对美国农业的影响。

DOI:
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发表时间:
2015
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
P. Westcott
P. Westcott
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
K. K. Marshall;S. Riché;R. Seeley;P. Westcott

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2014年下半年,能源价格大幅下跌,原油价格下跌超过40%,天然气价格下跌超过20%。此外,预计至少在2016年之前,能源价格将保持在较低水平。农业部门将从较低的能源价格中受益,主要是因为生产和运输成本降低。此外,生物燃料市场可能受到能源价格下跌的影响,但对乙醇需求的影响预计将是温和的。因此,对单个商品的影响反映了能源在生产成本中的重要性,以及该商品是否被用作生物燃料原料,即生物燃料生产中的一种投入。预计对种植面积和农产品价格的总体影响不大。2015年和2016年,农业部门的生产费用每年减少约50亿美元。
Over the last half of 2014, energy prices fell sharply, with crude oil prices down more than 40 percent and natural gas prices down more than 20 percent. Further, energy prices are expected to remain lower than previously projected through at least 2016. The agricultural sector will benefit from lower energy prices primarily because of reduced production and transportation costs. Additionally, biofuel markets are potentially affected by lower energy prices, but the effect on the demand for ethanol is expected to be modest. Effects on individual commodities, therefore, reflect the importance of energy in production costs and whether the commodity is used as a biofuel feedstock, an input in the production of biofuel. Overall effects on acreage and agricultural commodity prices are anticipated to be modest. Farm-sector production expenses are reduced by about $5 billion annually for 2015 and 2016.