Further exploration of two-stage decision making in the Monty Hall dilemma
Further exploration of two-stage decision making in the Monty Hall dilemma
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DOI：
10.2307/1423551
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发表时间：
1998-12-01
影响因子：
1.3
通讯作者：
Dorr, N
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Granberg, D;Dorr, N
本文报道了两个关于Monty Hall困境（MHD）中P阶段决策的实验。实验1测试了错觉的控制假说，使用2人的条件下，参与者只作出了第二阶段的决定，控制参与者作出了最初和最终的决定。在试验1-20中，在2人条件下发生了更多的转换，但试验21-50的条件没有差异。在实验2中，改变门的数量和显示的错误门的数量对最初的粘滞倾向没有影响，但在整个试验中有很强的影响。当情况不令人信服时，可能会出现满意，就像标准的S门MHD一样。
Two experiments on P-stage decision making in the Monty Hall dilemma (MHD) are reported. Experiment 1 tested an illusion-of-control hypothesis using a 2-person condition in which participants made only the second stage of the decision; control participants made both the initial and final decisions. More switching occurred on Trials 1-20 in the 2-person condition, but the conditions did not differ on Trials 21-50. In Experiment 2, varying the number of doors and the number of incorrect doors shown had no effect an the initial propensity to stick, but had a strong effect across trials. Satisficing can occur when the situation is not compelling, as in the standard S-door MHD.