When Crises Are Failures: Contested Metrics in International Finance and Development

When Crises Are Failures: Contested Metrics in International Finance and Development
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当危机就是失败:国际金融和发展中的有争议的指标

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发表时间:
2016
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通讯作者:
Jacqueline Best
Jacqueline Best
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作者:
Jacqueline Best

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如果我们不仅把2007-2008年金融危机这样的事件看作危机,而且看作失败,会发生什么?这种转变是富有成效的,为理解最近危机后的辩论和政策反应开辟了新的途径。因为这不仅仅是一场危机:也是一次惊人的失败。此外,这是一个有争议的失败:这种失败使关键行为者质疑他们衡量成功和失败的标准。本文通过对国际发展和国际金融领域近期失败的比较分析,认为将这些危机视为有争议的失败,有助于我们更好地理解某些危机的认识基础以及应对危机的政治。关注失败也让我们看到,决策者在这些危机之后变得更加专注于失败的可能性,他们在应对时变得越来越谨慎。本文最后探讨了日益流行的“防故障”政策方针的影响,这种谨慎的政策制定方针实际上可能增加未来失败的可能性。
What happens if we look at events like the 2007-2008 financial crisis not just as crises but also as failures? This shift is a productive one, opening up new ways of understanding the debates and policy responses that followed the recent crisis. For this was not just a crisis: it was also a spectacular failure. Moreover, it was a contested failure: the kind of failure that made key actors question the metrics through which they measured success and failure. Through a comparative analysis of recent failures in international development and international finance, this paper argues that looking at these crises as contested failures provides us with a better understanding of the epistemic underpinnings of certain crises and the politics of the responses to them. Focusing on failure also allows us to see that policymakers have become more preoccupied with the possibility of failure in the aftermath of these crises—and that they have become increasingly cautious in response. This paper concludes by exploring the implications of the increasing prevalence of “fail-safe” approaches to policy, a cautious approach to policymaking that may in fact increase the odds of future failures.