Recovery from natural disaster: A numerical investigation based on the convergence approach

Recovery from natural disaster: A numerical investigation based on the convergence approach
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DOI:
10.1016/j.econmod.2016.02.029
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发表时间:
2016-06
期刊:
影响因子:
4.7
通讯作者:
K. Hosoya
K. Hosoya
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
K. Hosoya

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本文采用简单的增长模型,使用政府出资的公共基础设施和外部效应,考察2011年东日本大地震和海啸对灾后经济复苏的影响。通过考察灾难后的恢复期,我们从各个角度具体考虑了恢复过程。我们的主要发现是,收敛速度略有下降,从约5.7%到约5.4%,在灾难之后。在灾区,很多人对恢复期的长短有顾虑。在考虑恢复进度时,我们还审查了可能有助于缩短恢复期的几项经济和社会政策。
This article employs a simple growth model, using government-funded public infrastructure and external effects to examine how the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami affected economic recovery in the post-disaster period. By examining the recovery period following the disaster, we concretely consider the recovery process from various angles. Our main finding is that the speed of convergence decreases slightly, from about 5.7% to about 5.4%, after the disaster. In the disaster area, many people have concerns about the length of the recovery period. In considering the recovery progress, we also examine several economic and social policies that might help to shorten the recovery period.