Nonlinear discrete-time hazard models for women's entry into marriage
Nonlinear discrete-time hazard models for women's entry into marriage
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DOI：
10.1177/1471082x211062651
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发表时间：
2021-12
影响因子：
1
通讯作者：
H. Turner;A. Batchelor;D. Firth
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
H. Turner;A. Batchelor;D. Firth
我们提出了一个风险模型进入婚姻，基于一个钟形函数模型的依赖于年龄。我们证明了近混叠的扩展，估计支持的危险，并通过重新参数化减轻这一点。我们提出的模型参数化的最大风险和相应的年龄，从而促进更一般的模型，这些功能取决于协变量。就1994-2001年在爱尔兰生活调查中的妇女婚姻数据而言，这种方法反映了连续几个队列中结婚倾向的降低，以及随着教育程度的提高，结婚时间的推迟。
We propose a hazard model for entry into marriage, based on a bell-shaped function to model the dependence on age. We demonstrate near-aliasing in an extension that estimates the support of the hazard and mitigate this via re-parameterization. Our proposed model parameterizes the maximum hazard and corresponding age, thereby facilitating more general models where these features depend on covariates. For data on women's marriages from the Living in Ireland Surveys 1994–2001, this approach captures a reduced propensity to marry over successive cohorts and an increasing delay in the timing of marriage with increasing education.