Applications and future challenges in marine species distribution modeling

Applications and future challenges in marine species distribution modeling
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DOI:
10.1002/aqc.1160
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发表时间:
2011-01-01
影响因子:
2.4
通讯作者:
Roedder, Dennis
Roedder, Dennis
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Dambach, Johannes;Roedder, Dennis

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1. 人为气候变化影响着包括海洋物种在内的世界生物群的物候和分布格局。在过去的十年中,物种分布模型被越来越多地用于评估物种的潜在分布和气候变化的可能影响。然而,与陆地物种不同的是,很少有研究评估气候变化对海洋生物分布模式的影响。概述了海洋物种分布模型。强调了如何在气候变化情景中描述和预测物种的环境生态位的可能性,并提出了在三维环境中解决特定需求的新技术。对环境参数的不同建模工具和数据库的详细介绍为这些模型的应用提供了一个起点。为了说明问题,本文介绍了大白鲨(Carcharodon carcharias)物种分布模型的应用及其对冰川和未来全球尺度情景的预测。提出了一种处理具有季节性分布模式的海洋迁徙物种的方法。版权所有John Wiley & Sons, Ltd。
1. Anthropogenic climate change affects both phenology and distribution patterns of the world's biota including marine species. During the last decade, species distribution models have been more frequently used to assess the potential distributions of species and possible effects of climate change. However, unlike for terrestrial species, there have been few investigations assessing climate change effects on distribution patterns of marine organisms.2. An overview of marine species distribution modelling is given. Possibilities of how to characterize and project the environmental niches of species onto climatic change scenarios are highlighted and novel techniques for addressing specific needs in a 3-D context are proposed. A detailed introduction into different modelling tools and databases for environmental parameters given provides a starting point for the application of these models.3. Application of a species distribution model and its projections onto a glacial and future scenario on a global scale are presented for the great white shark (Carcharodon carcharias) for illustrative purposes. An approach for addressing marine migratory species with seasonal distribution patterns is presented. Copyright (C) 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.