Binding Strategies in Alliance Politics: The Soviet-Japan-US Diplomatic Tug of War in the mid-1950s
Binding Strategies in Alliance Politics: The Soviet-Japan-US Diplomatic Tug of War in the mid-1950s
复制标题
联盟政治中的约束性战略：20世纪50年代中期的苏日美外交拉锯战
DOI：
10.1093/isq/sqx070
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发表时间：
2018
影响因子：
2.6
通讯作者：
Yasuhiro Izumikawa
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
泉川泰博;Yasuhiro Izumikawa
在20世纪50年代中期，苏联使用了一种楔形战略，旨在使日本远离美国。虽然努力失败了，但这远非一个不可避免的结果。当时，日本政府公开表示有意改善与共产主义集团的关系。此外，莫斯科向东京提供了诱人的胡萝卜，主要是以有利于解决悬而未决的领土争端的形式。我认为，失败源于美国如何部署约束性战略--旨在维持或加强盟友忠诚的政策--以对抗莫斯科的提议。在这样做的过程中，我试图扩大我们对约束策略以及约束策略和楔形策略之间的动态相互作用的理解。为此，我提出了一种类型的绑定策略，并制定了一个理论，包括绑定和楔形策略之间的动态相互作用。然后，我用苏日美三角外交的案例来检验这一理论，并证明这两种战略是深深交织在一起的，应该这样分析。最后，我讨论了更广泛的理论意义，如发展动态理论的联盟政治的可能性。
In the mid-1950s, the Soviet Union used a wedge strategy aimed at weaning Japan away from the United States. While the effort failed, this was far from an inevitable outcome. At the time, the Japanese government publicly expressed its intention to improve relations with the communist bloc. Moreover, Moscow offered Tokyo attractive carrots, mainly in the form of a favorable resolution of outstanding territorial disputes. I argue that the failure stemmed from how the United States deployedbinding strategies—policies aimed at maintaining or enhancing an ally's loyalty—to counter Moscow's overtures. In doing so, I seek to expand our understanding of binding strategies and the dynamic interplay between binding and wedge strategies. To this end, I present a typology of binding strategies and develop a theory that encompasses dynamic interactions between binding and wedge strategies. I then test the theory with the case of the Soviet-Japanese-US triangular diplomacy and demonstrate that the two strategies are deeply intertwined and should be analyzed as such. I conclude by discussing broader theoretical implications, such as the possibility of developing a dynamic theory of alliance politics.