The Competitiveness of the Palestinian Foreign Trade: A Cointegration Analysis
The Competitiveness of the Palestinian Foreign Trade: A Cointegration Analysis
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巴勒斯坦对外贸易的竞争力：协整分析
DOI：
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发表时间：
2010
期刊：
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通讯作者：
Gaber H. Abugamea
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Gaber H. Abugamea
在过去三十年中，西岸和加沙地带的巴勒斯坦地区在1967年被以色列占领后，经历了被迫融入以色列经济的影响。在这一一体化过程中，该地区的贸易明显受到强制关税同盟的影响，这主要意味着对从世界其他地区进口的货物与以色列分享相同的共同对外关税，并使以色列货物自由进入巴勒斯坦。除了强加于以色列的关税同盟所涉问题外，巴勒斯坦贸易的竞争力也受到以色列经济主要的通货膨胀模式的影响。物价和工资水平的上涨完全转移到巴勒斯坦地区。但是，自从1987年第一次巴勒斯坦起义爆发以来，西岸和加沙地带与以色列之间的经济关系受到破坏，与以色列的边界经常关闭，这已导致在以色列的巴勒斯坦工人人数明显减少。这种情况导致巴勒斯坦地区的工资水平下降，因此，预计将影响巴勒斯坦贸易品的竞争力。本研究调查了巴勒斯坦贸易的竞争力。它计算了两种衡量竞争力的方法，一种是基于价格指数，另一种是基于工资指数。通过使用涵盖1968-2000年期间数据的协整动态分析，它包括巴勒斯坦贸易主要决定因素中的竞争力措施，以突出价格工资差异对该贸易的影响。主要表现为与工资价格最高的贸易伙伴以色列的经济劳动关系破裂导致竞争力的提高。
Over the past three decades the Palestinian areas in the West Bank and Gaza Strip experienced the impacts of compulsory integration into the Israeli economy in the aftermath of the area’s occupation by Israel in 1967. Within this integration, the area’s trade was markedly affected by a forced customs union, which mainly implies sharing the same common external tariff with Israel on imports from the rest of the world and free movement for Israeli goods into Palestine. In addition to the implications of the imposed customs union with Israel, the competitiveness of Palestinian trade was also affected adversely by the transmission of the dominant inflationary pattern of the Israeli economy. The rise in both price and wage levels were transmitted completely to the Palestinian areas. However, the disruption in economic relationships between the West Bank and Gaza Strip and Israel since the eruption of the first Palestinian Intifada in 1987 and the frequent closures of the border with Israel has led markedly to a decrease of the number of Palestinian workers in Israel. This situation led to wage levels decline in the Palestinian areas, and hence, it is expected to influence the competitiveness of Palestinian tradables. This study investigates the competitiveness of the Palestinian trade. It computes two measures of competitiveness, one of which is based on price indices, and the other on wage indices. By using cointegration dynamic analysis using data covering the period 1968–2000, it includes that competitiveness measures in the main determinants of Palestinian trade to highlight price-wage difference implications on this trade. Mainly, it shows an improvement in the competitiveness resulted from the disruption in economic labor relation with the highest wage price Israeli dominant trading partner.