The National Press and Party Voting in the UK
The National Press and Party Voting in the UK
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英国的国家媒体和政党投票
DOI：
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发表时间：
2001
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
M. Brynin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
K. Newton;M. Brynin
解决报纸是否影响投票模式这一经典问题的困难在于自我选择：读者选择适合其政治观点的报纸，而报纸则选择特定类型的读者。解决这个先有鸡还是先有蛋的问题的一种方法是，将政治受到论文强化的个人的投票行为与受到论文交叉压力的人的投票行为进行比较，并将两者与不经常阅读论文的人进行比较。这项研究利用英国家庭小组的研究来分析 1992 年和 1997 年的投票模式，结果表明报纸对投票有统计学上的显着影响，对工党的影响大于保守党的同情者，对 1992 年选举的影响大于 1997 年的选举。讨论了这些发现对英国政治和民主的更广泛影响。
The difficulty with resolving the classic problem of whether newspapers influence voting patterns is self-selection: readers select a paper to fit their politics, and newspapers select particular types of readers. One way round this chicken-and-egg problem is to compare the voting behaviour of individuals whose politics are reinforced by their paper, with those who are cross-pressured by their paper, and to compare both with those who do not regularly read a paper. Using the British Household Panel study to analyse voting patterns in 1992 and 1997, this study suggest that newspapers have a statistically significant effect on voting, larger for Labour than Conservative sympathizers, and larger for the 1992 than the 1997 election. The broader implications of these findings for British politics and democracy are discussed.