The death toll from natural disasters: The role of income, geography, and institutions
The death toll from natural disasters: The role of income, geography, and institutions
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DOI：
10.1162/0034653053970339
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发表时间：
2005-05-01
影响因子：
8
通讯作者：
Kahn, ME
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Kahn, ME
本文利用1980年至2002年间73个国家每年因灾害死亡人数的新数据集，检验了有关减轻自然灾害的几个假设。虽然富裕国家经历的自然灾害并不比贫穷国家少，但富裕国家因灾害而死亡的人数确实较少。经济发展为抵御自然冲击提供了隐性保险。民主国家和拥有高质量机构的国家因自然灾害而死亡的人数较少。由于气候变化预计会增加洪水等自然灾害的频率，这些结果对全球变暖的发生率有影响。
Using a new data set on annual deaths from disasters in 73 nations from 1980 to 2002, this paper tests several hypotheses concerning natural-disaster mitigation. Though richer nations do not experience fewer natural disasters than poorer nations, richer nations do suffer less death from disaster. Economic development provides implicit insurance against nature's shocks. Democracies and nations with higher-quality institutions suffer less death from natural disaster. Because climate change is expected to increase the frequency of natural disasters such as floods, these results have implications for the incidence of global warming.