How Robust are Simulated Employment Effects of a Legal Minimum Wage in Germany?: A Comparison of Different Data Sources and Assumptions
How Robust are Simulated Employment Effects of a Legal Minimum Wage in Germany?: A Comparison of Different Data Sources and Assumptions
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德国法定最低工资的模拟就业影响有多强劲？：不同数据源和假设的比较
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发表时间：
2009
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Kai
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Kai
最近发表了几项最低工资实证研究，模拟德国联邦最低工资的就业影响。我们解开解释以前的模拟结果的变化的各种因素。根据德国社会经济小组的数据和最新的“Verdienststrukturerhebung 2006”，我们进行稳健性分析，系统地测试不同的劳动力需求模拟结果的范围。我们发现，劳动力需求的影响是敏感的测量误差在工资，代表性的样本相对于几种类型的劳动力投入，以及估计和假设的劳动力需求和产出价格弹性。这些决定因素的相互作用可能导致模拟结果的重大差异。
Several empirical minimum wage studies have recently been published that simulate employment effects of a federal minimum wage in Germany. We disentangle various factors that explain the variation in previous simulation results. Based on data from the German Socio-Economic Panel and the newly available "Verdienststrukturerhebung 2006" we conduct robustness analyses that systematically test the range in the outcomes of different labor demand simulations. We find that labor demand effects are sensitive to measurement errors in wages, the representativeness of the sample with respect to several types of labor inputs as well as estimated and assumed labor demand and output price elasticities. Interactions of those determinants may lead to substantial differences in simulation outcomes.